[1]姜鸿,李月,张艺影.美国对华半导体出口管制的经济效应研究[J].常州大学学报(社会科学版),2022,23(02):35-44.[doi:10.3969/j.issn.2095-042X.2022.02.005]
　Jiang Hong,Li Yue,Zhang Yiying.The Economic Effect of the US Control of Semiconductor Export to China[J].Journal of Changzhou University(Social Science Edition),2022,23(02):35-44.[doi:10.3969/j.issn.2095-042X.2022.02.005]
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美国对华半导体出口管制的经济效应研究()
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常州大学学报(社会科学版)[ISSN:2095-042X/CN:32-1821/C]

卷:
第23卷
期数:
2022年02期
页码:
35-44
栏目:
经济·管理学研究
出版日期:
2022-02-01

文章信息/Info

Title:
The Economic Effect of the US Control of Semiconductor Export to China
作者:
姜鸿; 李月; 张艺影
Author(s):
Jiang Hong;  Li Yue;  Zhang Yiying
semiconductor; export control; economic effect
关键词:
半导体;  出口管制;  经济效应
分类号:
F114
DOI:
10.3969/j.issn.2095-042X.2022.02.005
文献标志码:
A
摘要:
基于多区域投入产出表行业拆分法,将亚洲开发银行2019年发布的多区域投入产出表(ADB-MRIO)中电气电子设备制造业拆分为半导体行业与非半导体行业,采用假设抽取法与假设扩展法,模拟分析美国对华半导体出口管制对国内外经济的影响。研究发现:第一,美国对华半导体出口管制使美国遭受的损失大于中国,美国GDP最多减少0.0124‰,中国GDP最多减少0.00089‰。由于日本、韩国、欧洲国家成为中国半导体进口替代国,所以他们均在美国对华实行出口管制中受益。第二,中国受影响最大的行业是化学制品业、金属制品业、批发业、金融业、电气电子设备制造业中的非半导体行业。因此,我国应采取深化国际交流、加强中美沟通、强化科技力量等应对策略。
Abstract:
By the use of multi-regional input-output table industry splitting method to split the electrical and electronic equipment manufacturing industry in the multi-regional input-output table(ADB-MRIO)released by Asian Development Bank in 2019 into semiconductor industry and non-semiconductor industry and taking hypothesis extraction method and hypothesis expand method, the impact of US control of semiconductor export to China on the domestic and foreign economy is simulated and analyzed. The results show that first, the US has suffered more losses than that of China, with the largest reduction of 0.0124‰ in US GDP and 0.00089‰ in Chinese GDP. Japan, the Republic of Kerea and European countries have benefited from the US control of export to China because they have become China's import substitutes for semiconductors. Second, the most affected industries in China are chemical products industry, metal products industry, wholesale industry, financial industry, and non-semiconductor industry in the electrical and electronic equipment manufacturing industry. Accordingly, some countermeasures should be taken such as deepening international exchanges, enhancing Sino-US communication and strengthening scientific and technological strength.

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备注/Memo

备注/Memo:
作者简介:姜鸿,经济学博士,常州大学吴敬琏经济学院教授、硕士研究生导师; 李月,常州大学商学院硕士研究生; 张艺影,经济学博士,常州大学吴敬琏经济学院副教授。
基金项目:国家社会科学基金重点项目“中国绿色贸易利益的测度及提升对策研究”(18AJL012)。
更新日期/Last Update: 1900-01-01